Tag Archive for 'Grocery'

From Deserts to Desserts

Shawn MacDonald, Pitney Bowes Business Insight

Lately it has been fashionable for national media outlets to spotlight the failures that have been plaguing Detroit for the past several decades and administrations. In June of last year, The Wall Street Journal Online edition published an article highlighting the mass exodus by national retailers (Retailers Head for Exits in Detroit – WSJ.com). Then, Time Magazine established Assignment: Detroit, a year-long endeavor where several journalists (including Detroit native Daniel Okrent) live in an east side home and write about everyday life in the beleaguered city (The Detroit Blog – One year. One city. Endless opportunities. – TIME.com). More recently, Time’s sister online publication Life.com chronicled Detroit’s demise through a series of photographs (Ragged Glory) that depicts the extent of the city’s urban decay (Detroit: Still Life – Photo Gallery – LIFE).

Now, I am not saying that Detroit’s struggles should not be the focus of national media scrutiny. In addition to the decline of the American automobile industry, much of the city’s plight can be linked to past administrations hard-line stances that they can go it alone. That is, without the help of the suburban civic leaders who have been more than willing to come to the Detroit’s aid over the years. Furthermore, an archaic tax code has made it increasingly difficult for businesses to prosper, all to the detriment of the city’s residents.

When Hudson’s flagship store on Woodward Avenue closed its doors in the 1980’s, Detroit became the only major city in the United States without a department store within its city limits. Now, the city owns another distinction – the only major city without a national or regional supermarket chain. In 2006, Farmer Jack was sold piecemeal to several buyers, ending the chain’s long reign within southeast Michigan. In addition to Farmer Jack, the city was once home to many banners such as Kroger, A&P, Wrigley, Great Scott!, Packer, and Chatham. Today, only Kroger remains, although none of it supermarkets are within the city.

However, Detroit is not alone in its struggles to offer residents quality supermarket options. Of the 15 poorest cities (based on the percentage of residents living in poverty), nine are under-served (less than 2.5 square feet of space per resident) by supermarket chains with at least 25 stores, as the following graph depicts:

 

Conversely, among the Top 25 largest US cities, ten are rife with supermarket chains having more than 3 square feet of chain supermarket space per resident. Of those ten cities, the following six have more than have more than 4 square feet per resident and may be considered “over-served”: Phoenix, AZ; Columbus, OH; Fort Worth, TX; Indianapolis, IN; Austin, TX; and Jacksonville, FL.

 

True, poverty levels in these six cities are significantly lower which may account for a more inflated ratio. However, it is not as though the poorer cities have significantly less demand for grocery-related items. In fact, on average, demand for grocery-related items in the “Under-served Nine” is 90% of the “Over-served Six” level despite having 86% less chain supermarket space. Can you say “untapped potential”?

 

So, how does the playing field become leveled?

Well, to the rescue here comes… drum roll please…The United States Government!! Now hold on, this is a good thing. As part of her initiative to combat childhood obesity, First Lady Michele Obama is spearheading a campaign called Healthy Food Financing Initiative, a $400 million effort to end “food deserts” in some of the nation’s largest and poorest cities. The program will be modeled after a Pennsylvania initiative that has produced more than 80 supermarkets in the past five years, where nearly 400,000 people now have access to better food choices while supplying about 5,000 jobs.

To underscore the administration’s commitment to this cause, Jeff Brown, owner of the 10-store Brown’s Super Stores (a ShopRite affiliate), was not only recognized in the President Obama’s State of the Union address, he was also a guest of Mrs. Obama. A fourth-generation grocer, Mr. Brown has been very active in Pennyslyvania’s Fresh Food Initiative. Please reference this link for more information: Success in Pennsylvania Stirs Hope for Food Deserts

The idea is catching on! New York, Louisiana, Illinois, Colorado, and New Jersey have all launched similar programs. So far, independent supermarkets have embraced these programs while reaction among chains has been lukewarm. Given the tremendous untapped potential combined with government incentives, this soon may change.

Despite all of the rancor and partisanship in Washington these days, this initiative seems to have bipartisan support. And, as long as there are no strings attached (like the auto and banking bailouts), Democrats and Republicans should be eager to “bring home the bacon” to food deserts within their districts.  The jobs these supermarkets provide will be the “icing on the cake”, which would be a tasty dessert!!

Some Good Stimulus News

Shawn MacDonald, Pitney Bowes Business Insight

Pork. The “other” white meat or a “four-letter” word? Merriam-Webster’s Online Dictionary defines as:

1. the fresh or salted flesh of swine when dressed for food
2. government funds, jobs, or favors distributed by politicians to gain political advantage

Meateaters and vegetarians can both agree that the second definition leaves a bad taste in your mouth.

Admittedly, I opposed the government stimulus bill passed earlier this year because it seemed fraught with funding for “pet projects” so legislators could return to their districts and prove how hard they have been working for their constituency. And I do mean “pet” projects such as $2.5 million for a waterfront duck pond park and $200,000 for a dog park in Hercules, California or $16.5 million to save the San Francisco Bay area habitat of the salt marsh harvest mouse. While these may be very worthwhile causes, how many jobs will be created?

However, I have just discovered a stimulus-funded success story that you can sink your teeth into, literally! That’s right, I am talking about food here. As reported by Supermarket News, a 55,000-square-foot Stop & Shop grocery store will be the focal point of Arverne by the Sea, a mixed-use development in the south Queens community of Rockaway Beach. This development will be funded in part by $5.5 million in tax-exempt bonds made possible through the federal stimulus program. This Stop & Shop will not only fill a retail void – an estimated $528 million in consumer spending is lost annually to competing retail centers outside the Rockaways – but could also create upwards of 175 jobs as well.

The once-thriving waterfront community was designated as an Urban Renewal Project in 1964, and is emblematic of the decay within many urban communities throughout the country. The loss of the retail sectors within these communities have long been a challenge for local authorities. Urban consumers do have money to spend, accounting for $122 billion in retail sales in 2005. However, research also indicates a $42 billion “retail gap” still exists within urban communities, the majority of which can be attributed to the lack of supermarkets. To underscore this last point, more than half of the Detroit residents have to travel twice as far to find a grocery store than a fast-food restaurant.

While there are true impediments to closing the retail gap (scarcity of developable land, restrictive zoning, infrastructure, and politics), grocery chains must also overcome some powerful myths associated with doing business in these underserved areas. These myths include the closure of other local businesses, rampant crime, local residents will not get majority of jobs, and the need for special subsidies to ensure survival.

The Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company’s (A&P) Pathmark banner embraces inner-city opportunities, and in the early 1990s formed a partnership with the New Community Corporation to develop a 44,000-square-foot supermarket in the Newark, New Jersey Central Ward. Due to years of pent-up demand, this store set sales records on its first day of operation and within 2 years became Pathmark’s most profitable store. Hopefully, Stop & Shop will find similar success at Arverne by the Sea.

The stimulus package could have been another tool used by local authorities to recruit supermarket operators to underserved areas. Given all of the negative press surrounding the stimulus bill, it is comforting to find a truly “stimulating” story among the $787 billion appropriation. No doubt, a lot of “pork” was doled out in the stimulus bill, but did you know that the Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation received $70,000 to deliver 80,000 pounds of frozen chicken during July 2009 creating zero jobs? Now, I gotta “beef” with that!!

PBBI Client Grocery Outlets is “Leading the Pack”

The August edition of Grocery Headquarters featured an article by Freelancer Deena Amato-McCoy on grocery retailers that are using IT/software solutions in innovative ways. This article is an annual feature on the industry’s IT leaders, and it highlights the way grocery retailers are using technology to help them “stand out from the crowd in terms of customer service, productivity and, ultimately, profitability.”

Mark Drasin, vice president of real estate at Grocery Outlets, contributes valuable insight and some hard ROI arguing that PBBI’s Predictive Analytic solutions have enabled Grocery Outlets to “sharply reduce its cannibalization rate and contributed to a 40% sales increase over the past four years.”

Also highlighted in the article are discussions with Al Beery and Shawn McDonald, Practice Leaders in Predictive Analytics for Pitney Bowes Business Insight, on the benefits of PBBI’s solution MarketPulse. They argue that retailers should take into consideration macroeconomic trend data, such as bankruptcies, foreclosures, building permit trends, changes in demographic income and unemployment rates, to help them better understand their target markets.

To read more about Grocery Outlets and their use of PBBI’s Predictive Analytic solutions, visit http://groceryheadquarters.com/articles/2009-08-01/Leading-the-pack.